TY - BOOK AU - Bansi, L. AU - Sabin, C. AU - Delpech, V. AU - Hillard,T. AU - Fisher, M. AU - Walsh, J. AU - Chadborn, T. AU - Easterbrook, P. AU - Gilson, R. AU - Johnson, M. AU - Porter, K. AU - Anderson, J. AU - Gompels, M. AU - Leen, C. AU - Ainsworth, J. AU - Orkin, C. AU - Nelson, M. AU - Rice, B. AU - Phillips, A. ED - UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (CHIC) Study ED - Health Protection Agency TI - Trends over calendar time in antiretroviral treatment success and failure in HIV clinic populations SN - 14642662 PY - 2010/// N1 - NMUH Staff Publications; 11 N2 - <span style="font-size: 8pt;"><br /></span><div style="line-height: 17.999801635742188px;"><h4 style="margin: 0px 0.25em 0px 0px; text-transform: uppercase; float: left;"><span style="font-size: 8pt;">OBJECTIVE:</span></h4><p style="margin: 0px 0px 0.5em;"><span style="font-size: 8pt;">Effective&nbsp;<span class="highlight">antiretroviral</span>&nbsp;therapy (ART) has transformed the care of people with&nbsp;<span class="highlight">HIV</span>, but it is important to monitor&nbsp;<span class="highlight">time</span>&nbsp;<span class="highlight">trends</span>&nbsp;in indicators of&nbsp;<span class="highlight">treatment</span>&nbsp;<span class="highlight">success</span>&nbsp;and antic future changes.</span></p><h4 style="margin: 0px 0.25em 0px 0px; text-transform: uppercase; float: left;"><span style="font-size: 8pt;">METHODS:</span></h4><p style="margin: 0px 0px 0.5em;"><span style="font-size: 8pt;">We assessed&nbsp;<span class="highlight">time</span>&nbsp;<span class="highlight">trends</span>&nbsp;from 2000 to 2007 in several indicators of&nbsp;<span class="highlight">treatment</span>&nbsp;<span class="highlight">success</span>&nbsp;in the UK Collaborative&nbsp;<span class="highlight">HIV</span>&nbsp;Cohort (CHIC) Study, and using national&nbsp;<span class="highlight">HIV</span>&nbsp;data from the Health Protection Agency (HPA) we developed a model to project future&nbsp;<span class="highlight">trends</span>.</span></p><h4 style="margin: 0px 0.25em 0px 0px; text-transform: uppercase; float: left;"><span style="font-size: 8pt;">RESULTS:</span></h4><p style="margin: 0px 0px 0.5em;"><span style="font-size: 8pt;">The proportion of patients on ART with a viral load &lt;50&nbsp;<span class="highlight">HIV</span>-1 RNA copies/mL increased from 62% in 2000 to 84% in 2007, and the proportion of all patients with a CD4 count &lt;200 cells/microL decreased from 21% to 10%. During this period, the number of patients who experienced extensive triple class&nbsp;<span class="highlight">failure</span>&nbsp;(ETCF) rose from 147 (0.9%) to 1771 (3.9%). The number who experienced such ETCF and had a current viral load &gt;50 copies/mL rose fromz 118 (0.7%) to 857 (1.9%). Projections to 2012 suggest sustained high levels of&nbsp;<span class="highlight">success</span>, with a continued increase in the number of patients who have failed multiple drugs but a relatively stable number of such patients experiencing viral loads &gt;50 copies/mL. Numbers of deaths are projected to remain low.</span></p><h4 style="margin: 0px 0.25em 0px 0px; text-transform: uppercase; float: left;"><span style="font-size: 8pt;">CONCLUSIONS:</span></h4><p style="margin: 0px 0px 0.5em;"><span style="font-size: 8pt;">There have been continued improvements in key indicators of&nbsp;<span class="highlight">success</span>&nbsp;in patients with&nbsp;<span class="highlight">HIV</span>&nbsp;from 2000 to 2007. Although the number of patients who have ETCF is projected to rise in the future, the number of such patients with viral loads &gt;50 copies/mL is not projected to increase up to 2012. New drugs may be needed in future to sustain these positive&nbsp;<span class="highlight">trends</span>.</span></p></div> UR - http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/?term=Trends+over+calendar+time+in+antiretroviral+treatment+success+and+failure+in+HIV+clinic+populations. UR - http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-1293.2009.00809.x/pdf ER -